交通基础设施对城乡收入差距的影响效应研究基于中国数据的实证分析

The Impact of Transport Infrastructure on the Urban-Rural Income Gap: An Empirical Analysis Based on Chinese Data

  • 摘要: 本研究从综合交通基础设施、公路交通基础设施和铁路交通基础设施三个维度,使用包括普通最小二乘法(OLS)、边界检验方法、Heckman两阶段模型、倾向得分匹配(PSM)方法以及工具变量两阶段最小二乘法(IV-2SLS)等在内的多种分析手段,针对交通基础设施对城乡收入的影响展开论证,为进一步判断影响方向提供了新的证据。通过引入农业贸易条件和农业机械化作为中介变量,使用中介效应模型解析了交通基础设施在改善城乡收入差距中的具体发挥方式,为机制研究提供了新的补充。研究发现:交通基础设施能够有效的改善城乡收入差距,且即使采用不同的稳健性检验方法和内生性处理手段,该结论依然显著且稳定;按地区分组的检验结果显示,交通基础设施对于改善城乡收入差距的推动效应在全国范围内普遍成立;机制分析发现,农业贸易条件和农业机械化在交通基础设施影响城乡收入差距的机制中发挥着中介作用。本研究的开展不仅为进一步判断交通基础设施对城乡收入差距的影响方向提供了新的证据,也为影响机制研究提供了新的补充。

     

    Abstract: This study examines the impact of transportation infrastructure on urban–rural income from three dimensions: comprehensive transportation infrastructure, highway infrastructure, and railway infrastructure. A variety of analytical methods are employed, including ordinary least squares (OLS), boundary tests, the Heckman two-stage model, propensity score matching (PSM), and the instrumental variable two-stage least squares (IV-2SLS) approach, providing new evidence for determining the direction of the effect. By introducing agricultural terms of trade and agricultural mechanization as mediating variables, a mediation effect model is applied to elucidate the specific mechanisms through which transportation infrastructure mitigates urban–rural income disparities, thereby offering a novel contribution to the study of underlying mechanisms.The findings reveal that transportation infrastructure exerts a significant positive effect on narrowing the urban–rural income gap. This conclusion remains robust even after multiple robustness checks and the treatment of endogeneity. Heterogeneity tests show that transportation infrastructure consistently contributes to reducing income disparities between urban and rural areas across various regions. Mechanism analysis shows that agricultural trade conditions and agricultural mechanization serve as mediators linking transportation infrastructure to changes in the income disparity between urban and rural areas. This study offers new evidence for evaluating how transportation infrastructure influences income disparities between urban and rural areas, while also enhancing the understanding of the underlying mechanisms.

     

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