基于模糊DEMATEL-ISM-AHP共享停车系统影响因素分析

Analysis of Influencing Factors in Shared Parking Systems Based on Fuzzy DEMATEL-ISM-AHP

  • 摘要:
    目的 为了解决共享停车研究中影响因素关系分析和权重量化难度大等问题,本文在对影响因素归集的基础上,提出了一种基于三角模糊理论的模糊DEMATEL-ISM-AHP综合分析模型。
    方法 对共享停车系统中18个影响因素之间的因果关系进行分析,同时划分了各因素的影响程度,并进行了综合权重的计算。
    结果 结果表明:可以将18个影响因素按照其影响机理划分为根本影响层、间接影响层和直接影响层,其中法律法规、监管力度和政策支持构成了系统的根本驱动力,而使用便利性与停车需求等处于直接影响层;通过计算综合权重可知,政府制度设计在共享停车系统中发挥着关键作用。
    结论 研究表明,共享停车系统的发展在很大程度上受制度设计的制约,所构建的综合模型能够有效降低主观评价的不确定性,为共享停车系统的健康、稳定发展提供科学的量化决策依据。

     

    Abstract: 【Objective】To address the difficulties in analyzing the relationships among influencing factors and in quantifying their weights in shared parking research, this study, based on a systematic classification of influencing factors, proposes a comprehensive fuzzy DEMATEL–ISM–AHP analytical model grounded in triangular fuzzy theory. 【Method】The causal relationships among 18 influencing factors in the shared parking system are analyzed, their impact levels are identified, and their comprehensive weights are calculated. 【Result】The results indicate that the 18 factors can be classified into fundamental, indirect, and direct influence layers according to their influence mechanisms. Among them, laws and regulations, regulatory intensity, and policy support constitute the fundamental driving forces of the system, while factors such as usage convenience and parking demand belong to the direct influence layer. The comprehensive weight analysis further shows that government institutional design plays a critical role in the shared parking system. 【Conclusion】The findings suggest that the development of shared parking systems is largely constrained by institutional design, and the proposed integrated model can effectively reduce the uncertainty of subjective evaluations, providing scientific and quantitative decision support for the healthy and stable development of shared parking systems.

     

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