基于LDA-Word2vec的冷链物流政策的央地协同量化分析

Quantitative Analysis of National-Provincial-Municipal Coordination of Cold Chain Logistics Development Policy Based on LDA-Word2vec

  • 摘要: 自2008年以来,为推动冷链物流健康快速发展,国家及各省市出台了一系列冷链物流政策,这些政策的效果直接影响各地冷链物流的投资热度和运营质量。基于政策工具理论,以中央和地方(下文简称“央地”)出台的冷链物流政策作为研究对象,引入LDA主题模型和Word2vec词嵌入算法,进行政策文本的主题归纳分析、地域性差异分析、时序差异分析和央地协同性分析。研究结果表明:1)2008-2023年研究期内,冷链物流政策主要聚焦“冷链物流行业的标准化”、“专项支持资金打造农产品冷链物流体系”、“多策并举落地冷链物流项目”、“构建绿色高效冷链供应链新模式”等四个主题;2)研究期内,冷链物流规范性政策文本具有时序阶段性特征,可分为萌芽期、增长期和稳健期,且各阶段主题强度不同,保证冷链物流的均衡发展;3)冷链物流规范性政策文本具有区域多样性,各地区对冷链侧重点存在差异,因地制宜制定冷链物流政策;4)华东城市群的冷链物流政策的央地协同性高于其他地区,且政策主题较为丰富,不仅响应中央政策要求,也适应各地区发展。

     

    Abstract: Since 2008, a series of cold chain logistics policies have been issued by the state and many provinces and cities in order to boost the development of the cold chain logistics. So the performance and effect of such policies are the concern for the public. Based on the theory of policy tools, this paper conducts a quantitative analysis of national-provincial-municipal (hereinafter referred to as “central and local”) cold chain logistics regulatory policy texts. Taking the contents of the current effective central-local cold chain logistics regulatory documents as examples, integrating the LDA thematic model and Word2vec word embedding algorithms, conducting thematic inductive analysis, geographic difference analysis, temporal difference analysis and central-local synergistic analysis. The study results show that: 1) During the study period of 2008-2023, the cold chain logistics policy mainly focuses on the following four themes, including standardization of cold chain logistics industry, special support funds to develop a cold chain logistics system for agricultural products, multiple measures to implement cold chain logistics projects, and building a new model of green and efficient cold chain supply chain; 2) During the study period, the normative policy texts on cold chain logistics are characterized by chronological stages, which can be divided into germination, growth and robustness, and the intensity of the themes in each stage is different to ensure the balanced development of cold chain logistics; 3) Cold chain logistics normative policy texts are regionally diverse, with differences in the focus on the cold chain in each region, and the development of cold chain logistics policies is adapted to local conditions; 4) The East China Urban Agglomeration's cold chain logistics policy has a higher degree of synergy between the central government and the local government than that of other regions, and the policy theme is richer, not only responding to the requirements of the central government's policy, but also adapting to the development of the region according to local conditions.

     

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