考虑选择行为与双向流的城市轨道交通换乘时间仿真计算方法

Simulation Approach for Urban Rail Transit Transfer Time Estimation Incorporating Passenger Choice Behavior and Bi-directional Pedestrian Flow

  • 摘要: 为解决城市轨道交通换乘时间计算不准的问题,本文提出一种考虑乘客行为和动态拥堵的多智能体仿真方法。该方法构建了融合路径选择与双向拥堵效应的微观仿真模型,通过赋予每个乘客独立的决策能力与速度属性,一体化模拟其下车、走行、等待至上车的完整换乘过程。以北京朝阳门站为实例的仿真结果表明,该模型能有效复现高峰期客流的动态拥堵现象,与实际走行时间的偏差为4.28%,并揭示了双向客流对冲是导致走行速度下降与换乘时间增加的关键因素,当双向拥堵系数从低水平增加到高水平时,总走行时间激增了72.1%。本研究通过精细刻画微观行为,提升了换乘时间预测的准确性,可为客流组织优化与列车时刻表协同调整提供决策支持。

     

    Abstract: To address the inaccuracy in calculating transfer times for urban rail transit, this paper proposes a multi-agent simulation method that takes passenger behavior and dynamic congestion into account. A microscopic simulation model is constructed to integrate passenger path choice behavior with bi-directional congestion effects. By assigning independent decision-making capabilities and speed attributes to each passenger agent, the entire transfer process from alighting to boarding is simulated. Through a case study of Beijing's Chaoyangmen Station, the model's ability to reproduce peak-hour congestion is demonstrated, with a deviation of 4.28% from the actual walking time. Bi-directional flow conflict was identified as the key factor for increased transfer time and reduced walking speed. Notably, when the bi-directional congestion coefficient was increased from low to a high level, the total walking time surged by 72.1%. By detailing microscopic behaviors, prediction accuracy is enhanced, and scientific decision support for passenger flow optimization and train schedule coordination is provided.

     

/

返回文章
返回