基于PSO-GBDT的燃煤电厂SCR入口NOx浓度软测量

Soft Sensor for NOx at SCR Inlet of Coal-fired Power Plant Based on PSO-GBDT

  • 摘要: 为了保证燃煤电厂SCR系统入口氮氧化物(NOx)预测精度、降低预测时间,提出了一种基于粒子群优化(PSO)梯度提升决策树(GBDT)超参数的软测量模型。首先,综合模型预测精度和运行时间设计了目标函数;其次,利用皮尔逊相关系数法从初始参量中选择5个重要的特征作为模型输入,对降维后的数据进行标准化处理,将其切分为训练数据集和测试数据集;再次,构建了GBDT软测量模型,并利用目标函数对模型参数进行优化;最后,为了降低模型优化时间使用PSO算法优化模型超参数,实现了SCR入口NOx浓度软测量。仿真结果表明PSO-GBDT模型的泛化误差平均值小于5%,且相对GBDT模型来说具有结构简单、运行时间少的优点。

     

    Abstract: In order to ensure the prediction precisionand reduce theprediction time, a soft sensor model based on gradient boosting decision tree(GBDT) and particle swarm optimization(PSO) for nitrogen oxides(NOx) at the inlet of the system in coal-fired power(SCR) plantsis proposed.Firstly, the objective function is designed based on the model’s prediction accuracy and running time.Secondly, the five most important features are selected through the Pearson correlation coefficient between the input features and target, the reduced dimensional data is standardized and divided intotraining dataset and testing dataset for the prediction model.Then, a GBDT model is constructed, and the model parameters are optimized through the objective function.Finally, in order to reduce the optimization timea PSO algorithm is used to optimize the hyperparameters of prediction model, so the soft sensoris achieved.The simulation results show that the average generalization error of the PSO-GBDT model for SCR inlet NOx concentration is less than 5%.At the same time, the model structure is simply, and the running time is less than the GBDT model.

     

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