1983-2022年中国植被变化驱动力的演变

Evolution of Driving Forces for Vegetation Change in China During the Period from 1983-2022

  • 摘要: 掌握长时间尺度上植被变化驱动力的演变,对于实施生态治理工程至关重要。基于GIMMS NDVI3g数据和ERA5-Land的气温、降水和太阳辐射数据,采用PolyTrend算法和改进的RESTREND方法分析1983-2022年中国植被变化时空特征及其驱动力演变。结果表明:近40年中国植被整体增长显著;气候变化和人类活动的共同作用是中国植被增加的主要驱动力,单独的人类活动是中国植被减少的主要驱动力;植被呈非线性变化的像元占总植被像元的50.6%,主要集中在东北地区、青藏高原、黄土高原、四川盆地及云贵高原;植被ID、DI、IDI和DID变化区域上占比最多的驱动力变化类型分别为DH、HD、DHD和HDH,可见气候变化和人类活动的共同作用主要影响着植被非线性变化中的增加阶段,单独的人类活动主要影响着植被非线性变化中的减少阶段。研究结果建议应更加重视人类活动在植被改善中的作用。

     

    Abstract: Exploring the evolution of driving forces behind vegetation changes over a long time scale is crucial for implementing ecological governance projects.Based on GIMMS NDVI3g data and ERA5-Land temperature, precipitation, and solar radiation data, the PolyTrend algorithm and improved RESTREND method were used to analyze the spatiotemporal characteristics and driving force evolution of vegetation changes in China during the period from 1983-2022.The results indicate that: In the past 40 years, the overall growth of vegetation in China has been significant; The combined effect of climate change and human activities is the main driving force behind the increase of vegetation in China, while individual human activities are the main driving force behind the decrease of vegetation in China; The pixels with non-linear vegetation changes account for 50.6% of the total vegetation pixels, mainly in the Loess Plateau, North China Plain, Qinghai Tibet Plateau, Sichuan Basin and Northeast China; The types of driving force changes with the highest proportion of vegetation ID,DI,IDI,and DID change areas are DH,HD,DHD,and HDH,respectively.It can be seen that the combined effects of climate change and human activities mainly affect the increasing stage of vegetation nonlinear changes, while individual human activities mainly affect the decreasing stage of vegetation nonlinear changes.The research results suggest that more attention should be paid to the role of human activities in vegetation improvement.

     

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