基于收益管理的高速铁路网络抗毁性研究

Invulnerability Analysis of High-speed Railway Transportation Networks Based on Revenue Management

  • 摘要: 基于收益管理理论,提出了一种新的高速铁路运输网络抗毁性评估方法。通过构建收益管理优化模型,量化了不同攻击策略下的运力损失,并采用复杂网络理论分析了关键节点和线路的重要性。为增强评估的科学性,在上述研究基础上补充了现有抗毁性研究方法的对比分析,包括基于拓扑结构分析、鲁棒性评估及优化调度的方法。数值模拟结果表明,在随机攻击和蓄意攻击情境下,网络的抗毁性呈现不同特征,关键枢纽节点的损失对整体网络影响显著。此外,结合京沪高铁的实际数据进行验证,结果表明所建模型能够有效预测突发事件下的运力损失,并为应急调度提供决策支持。进一步可为高速铁路网络的规划、调度优化及应急管理提供重要理论依据。

     

    Abstract: This study proposes a novel approach to evaluate the invulnerability of high-speed railway transportation networks based on revenue management theory.By constructing an optimization model for revenue management, the study quantifies capacity losses under different attack strategies and employs complex network theory to analyze the significance of key nodes and routes.To enhance the scientific rigor of the evaluation, a comparative analysis of existing invulnerability assessment methods-including topology-based analysis, robustness evaluation, and optimization-based approaches-was conducted on the basis of the preceding work.Numerical simulation results indicate that network invulnerability exhibits distinct characteristics under random and deliberate attacks, with losses at critical hub nodes significantly impacting overall network performance.Furthermore, empirical validation using data from the Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway demonstrates that the constructed model effectively predicts capacity losses during unexpected disruptions and supports emergency scheduling decisions.These findings provide valuable theoretical insights for high-speed railway network planning, operational optimization, and emergency management.

     

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