基于本体和知识推理的地铁车站火灾事故应急决策方法研究

Research on Emergency Decision-making Methods for Fire Incidents in Subway Stations Based on Ontology and Knowledge Reasoning

  • 摘要: 地铁车站是城市重要生命线工程,但其运营阶段突发灾害事件数量不断增多,应急决策的复杂性及难度也逐渐增加。为提升地铁车站面对突发火灾事件时应急决策科学性和针对性不强等突出问题。本文基于本体论和知识推理提出一种地铁车站火灾应急决策方法。利用本体论分析并构建应急案例本体模型;基于随机森林计算地铁火灾特征属性权重;基于SWRL规则建立应急预案规则库,通过案例推理、规则及本体推理机方法实现应急决策方案的智能生成。最后,以某地铁车站为例,验证了该方法的可行性。结果表明:案例#5相似度最大,相似值为0.85,利用SWRL规则实现了地铁车站人员应急措施推理。基于本体论和知识推理的方法可以科学、快速、有效生成地铁车站火灾应急决策方案,增强了地铁运营领域知识的重用,为突发事件的科学应急和智慧应急提供技术支撑。

     

    Abstract: Metro stations are important lifeline projects in cities, but the number of disaster emergencies in its operation phase is increasing, and the complexity and difficulty of emergency decision-making is also gradually increasing.To improve the scientific and targeted emergency decision-making of subway stations when facing sudden fires and other prominent issues, this paper proposes a subway station fire emergency decision-making method based on ontology theory and knowledge reasoning.The ontology is used to analyze and construct the ontology model of emergency casesand the weight of subway fire feature attributes is calculated based on random forest.A digital emergency plan rule base is established based on SWRL rules, and the intelligent generation of emergency decision-making scheme is realized through case-based reasoning, rules, and ontology-based reasoning machine methods.Finally, a metro station is taken as an example to verify the feasibility of the method.The results show that Case #5 has the greatest similarity, with a similarity value of 0.85,and the reasoning of emergency measures for metro station personnel is realized by using SWRL rules.The method based on ontology and knowledge reasoning can generate the fire emergency response decision-making method of metro stations scientifically, quickly and effectively, which enhances the reuse of knowledge in the field of metro operation, and provides technical support for scientific emergency response and intelligent emergency response to emergencies.

     

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